Newcastle United — Hull City 2:1

Newcastle United

2:1

Hull City

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

The score matched the game: Newcastle United was the better side by chances too.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Newcastle United	2	1.38	+0.6	1.52
Hull City	1	1.16	−0.2	1.21

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
2'	Joe Willock	Newcastle United	0.11	Harvey Barnes
6'	Lewis Hall	Newcastle United	0.10	Harvey Barnes
66'	Mohamed Ali-Cho	Hull City	0.09	Mohamed Belloumi

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
15'	Mohamed Belloumi	Hull City	0.28	saved
32'	Lewis Hall	Newcastle United	0.12	off target
80'	Oliver McBurnie	Hull City	0.12	blocked

Shots: Newcastle United 12, Hull City 21; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 1 and 0.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Newcastle United 0.41, Hull City 0.38: about even. In the second half xG was Newcastle United 0.94, Hull City 0.78: about even.

How it fits the season

Newcastle United: +2.1 for the season (12 in the table). Hull City: +2.0 (13). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Tottenham Hotspur — Aston Villa 2:3Brighton — Arsenal 3:0Everton — Ipswich Town 1:0Nottingham Forest — Coventry City 0:1

All EPL matches with xG →