The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
The score matched the game: Newcastle United was the better side by chances too.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle United | 2 | 1.38 | +0.6 | 1.52 |
| Hull City | 1 | 1.16 | −0.2 | 1.21 |
Newcastle United: +3.7 for the season (9 in the table). Hull City: +2.5 (8). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.