Everton — Ipswich Town 1:0

Everton

1:0

Ipswich Town

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

The score matched the game: Everton was the better side by chances too.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Everton	1	2.58	−1.6	2.24
Ipswich Town	0	1.10	−1.1	0.59

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
10'	Thierno Barry	Everton	0.35	James Tarkowski

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
37'	Leif Davis	Ipswich Town	0.51	off target
4'	Brennan Johnson	Everton	0.38	off target
75'	Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall	Everton	0.37	off target, header

Shots: Everton 21, Ipswich Town 13; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 4 and 1.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Everton 1.34, Ipswich Town 0.85: a small edge for Everton. In the second half xG was Everton 1.25, Ipswich Town 0.26: a clear edge for Everton. The edge in chances lasted the whole match. Everton scored 1 from 2.58 xG: fewer than they created. Ipswich Town scored 0 from 1.10 xG: fewer than they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.

How it fits the season

Everton: +1.4 for the season (6 in the table). Ipswich Town: +0.8 (14). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Tottenham Hotspur — Aston Villa 2:3Newcastle United — Hull City 2:1Brighton — Arsenal 3:0Nottingham Forest — Coventry City 0:1

All EPL matches with xG →