The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
The score matched the game: Everton was the better side by chances too.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everton | 1 | 2.58 | −1.6 | 2.24 |
| Ipswich Town | 0 | 1.10 | −1.1 | 0.59 |
Everton: +1.4 for the season (7 in the table). Ipswich Town: +0.3 (11). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.