The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
Tottenham Hotspur created more (1.72 xG against 1.71) and left with nothing.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tottenham Hotspur | 2 | 1.72 | +0.3 | 1.40 |
| Aston Villa | 3 | 1.71 | +1.3 | 1.38 |
Tottenham Hotspur: −3.5 for the season (20 in the table). Aston Villa: +0.0 (16). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.