Brighton — Arsenal 3:0

Brighton

3:0

Arsenal

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

The score matched the game: Brighton was the better side by chances too.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Brighton	3	2.11	+0.9	1.93
Arsenal	0	1.24	−1.2	0.87

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
30'	Pascal Groß	Brighton	0.03	Charalampos Kostoulas
44'	Charalampos Kostoulas	Brighton	0.05	Diego Gómez
56'	Chema Andres	Brighton	0.53	Pascal Groß

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
44'	Bukayo Saka	Arsenal	0.63	saved
89'	Matt O'Riley	Brighton	0.58	saved
56'	Chema Andres	Brighton	0.53	goal, header, from a corner

Shots: Brighton 17, Arsenal 11; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 3 and 1.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Brighton 0.58, Arsenal 0.72: about even. In the second half xG was Brighton 1.68, Arsenal 0.58: a clear edge for Brighton. Arsenal scored 0 from 1.24 xG: fewer than they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.

How it fits the season

Brighton: +3.8 for the season (2 in the table). Arsenal: +8.0 (1). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Tottenham Hotspur — Aston Villa 2:3Newcastle United — Hull City 2:1Everton — Ipswich Town 1:0Nottingham Forest — Coventry City 0:1

All EPL matches with xG →