Pitch Radar

Alavés vs Elche: match prediction

Alavés
VS
Elche
LaLiga · Round 17 · 20 Dec 2026 · season 2026/27

The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.

Home win57%Alavés
Draw23%
Away win21%Elche
Expected points, home1.92

What to expect

Alavés are favourites: 57% to win against 21%. Attack against defence: Alavés should create more, 1.64 expected goals a match against 1.35. Alavés are 3.8 points short of what their play deserved — more dangerous than the table suggests.

How they arrive

ClubPlacePPointsxPTSΔxG/matchxGA/match
Alavés12121316.8−3.81.361.40
Elche18121013.7−3.71.311.92

Recent matches

Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.

All LaLiga matches with xG → · Full LaLiga xPTS table → · LaLiga: next round predictions