Deportivo La Coruña vs Athletic Club: match prediction
Deportivo La CoruñaVS
Athletic ClubThe match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.
Home win36%Deportivo La Coruña
Draw26%
Away win38%Athletic Club
Expected points, home1.33
What to expect
No clear favourite: 36% home, 26% draw, 38% away. Attack against defence: Athletic Club should create more, 1.58 expected goals a match against 1.37. Athletic Club are 4.2 points short of what their play deserved — more dangerous than the table suggests.
How they arrive
| Club | Place | P | Points | xPTS | Δ | xG/match | xGA/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo La Coruña | 9 | 12 | 15 | 16.5 | −1.5 | 1.44 | 1.36 |
| Athletic Club | 7 | 11 | 16 | 20.2 | −4.2 | 1.80 | 1.30 |
Recent matches
Espanyol — Deportivo La Coruna 0:0Deportivo La Coruna — 
Osasuna 2:1
Atletico Madrid — Deportivo La Coruna 1:0Deportivo La Coruna — 
Levante 1:1
Real Sociedad — Deportivo La Coruna 3:2Osasuna — Athletic Club 1:1Athletic Club — Real Sociedad 2:1Athletic Club — 
Getafe 4:0Levante — Athletic Club 3:1
Valencia — Athletic Club 0:0Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.
All LaLiga matches with xG → · Full LaLiga xPTS table → · LaLiga: next round predictions