Espanyol vs Celta Vigo: match prediction
EspanyolVS
Celta VigoThe match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.
Home win33%Espanyol
Draw33%
Away win33%Celta Vigo
Expected points, home1.34
What to expect
No clear favourite: 33% home, 33% draw, 33% away. Attack against defence: level, 1.12 and 1.26 expected goals a match. Espanyol are 3.1 points short of what their play deserved — more dangerous than the table suggests.
How they arrive
| Club | Place | P | Points | xPTS | Δ | xG/match | xGA/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Espanyol | 13 | 12 | 12 | 15.1 | −3.1 | 1.09 | 1.37 |
| Celta Vigo | 11 | 12 | 13 | 15.7 | −2.7 | 1.15 | 1.15 |
Recent matches
Espanyol — 
Deportivo La Coruna 0:0
Villarreal — Espanyol 0:1
Racing Santander — Espanyol 2:1Espanyol — 
Atletico Madrid 0:1
Malaga — Espanyol 1:1Celta Vigo — 
Levante 0:0
Rayo Vallecano — Celta Vigo 3:0Celta Vigo — 
Real Betis 0:0Celta Vigo — 
Alaves 2:1
Elche — Celta Vigo 0:0Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.
All LaLiga matches with xG → · Full LaLiga xPTS table → · LaLiga: next round predictions