Pitch Radar

Valencia vs Espanyol: match prediction

Valencia
VS
Espanyol
LaLiga · Round 17 · 20 Dec 2026 · season 2026/27

The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.

Home win34%Valencia
Draw31%
Away win35%Espanyol
Expected points, home1.33

What to expect

No clear favourite: 34% home, 31% draw, 35% away. Attack against defence: Espanyol should create more, 1.36 expected goals a match against 1.20. Valencia are 3.7 points short of what their play deserved — more dangerous than the table suggests.

How they arrive

ClubPlacePPointsxPTSΔxG/matchxGA/match
Valencia1912912.7−3.71.021.63
Espanyol13121215.1−3.11.091.37

Recent matches

Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.

All LaLiga matches with xG → · Full LaLiga xPTS table → · LaLiga: next round predictions