Pitch Radar

Angers vs Nice: what the numbers say

Ligue 1 · Round 10 · 7 Nov 2026 · season 2026/27

The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.

Home win68%Angers
Draw19%
Away win14%Nice
Expected points, home2.21

What to expect

Angers are favourites: 68% to win against 14%. Attack against defence: Angers should create more, 1.81 expected goals a match against 1.30.

How they arrive

ClubPlacePPointsxPTSΔxG/matchxGA/match
Angers7577.4−0.41.671.51
Nice14554.1+0.91.091.96

Recent matches

Probabilities come from a Poisson model over both sides' xG with a home advantage applied. We know nothing about injuries, suspensions or rotation, and we do not give betting tips.

All Ligue 1 matches with xG → · Full Ligue 1 xPTS table →