Angers — Troyes 2:0

Angers

2:0

Troyes

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

The score matched the game: Angers was the better side by chances too.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Angers	2	2.39	−0.4	2.12
Troyes	0	1.16	−1.2	0.69

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
41'	Prosper Peter	Angers	0.63	Amine Sbaï
56'	Amine Sbaï	Angers	0.78	Amine El Ouazzani

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
56'	Amine Sbaï	Angers	0.78	goal
41'	Prosper Peter	Angers	0.63	goal, header
78'	Djibirin Harouna	Angers	0.41	off target

Shots: Angers 12, Troyes 19; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 3 and 1.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Angers 0.95, Troyes 0.48: a small edge for Angers. In the second half xG was Angers 1.46, Troyes 0.70: a small edge for Angers. The edge in chances lasted the whole match. Troyes scored 0 from 1.16 xG: fewer than they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.

How it fits the season

Angers: −1.6 for the season (16 in the table). Troyes: −2.8 (17). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Paris FC — Strasbourg 2:1Toulouse — Le Havre 3:2Le Mans — Lorient 2:1Lyon — Rennes 4:0

All Ligue 1 matches with xG →