Le Mans — Lorient 2:1

Le Mans

2:1

Lorient

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

Lorient created more (1.07 xG against 0.96) and left with nothing.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Le Mans	2	0.96	+1.0	1.26
Lorient	1	1.07	−0.1	1.43

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
2'	Adil Bourabaa	Le Mans	0.02	Rayan Bamba
56'	Habib Diallo	Le Mans	0.28	Lucas Bretelle
78'	Isak Jensen	Lorient	0.10	Arsène Kouassi

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
4'	Ibrahima Baldé	Lorient	0.43	off target, header
90'	Noah Cadiou	Lorient	0.34	off target, header
56'	Habib Diallo	Le Mans	0.28	goal, header, from a corner

Shots: Le Mans 11, Lorient 9; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 0 and 2.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Le Mans 0.27, Lorient 0.50: about even. In the second half xG was Le Mans 0.70, Lorient 0.58: about even. Le Mans scored 2 from 0.96 xG: more than they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.

How it fits the season

Le Mans: −1.7 for the season (15 in the table). Lorient: −0.4 (10). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Paris FC — Strasbourg 2:1Toulouse — Le Havre 3:2Angers — Troyes 2:0Lyon — Rennes 4:0

All Ligue 1 matches with xG →