Paris FC — Strasbourg 2:1

Paris FC

2:1

Strasbourg

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

The score matched the game: Paris FC was the better side by chances too.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Paris FC	2	0.91	+1.1	1.95
Strasbourg	1	0.23	+0.8	0.66

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
17'	Ilan Kebbal	Paris FC	0.05	Lassine Sinayoko
56'	Pablo Pagis	Paris FC	0.12	Maxime Lopez
87'	Mamadou Mbow (own goal)	Strasbourg	—

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
56'	Pablo Pagis	Paris FC	0.12	goal
4'	Lassine Sinayoko	Paris FC	0.11	saved
45'	Pablo Pagis	Paris FC	0.10	blocked

Shots: Paris FC 17, Strasbourg 5; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 0 and 0.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Paris FC 0.61, Strasbourg 0.00: a small edge for Paris FC. In the second half xG was Paris FC 0.28, Strasbourg 0.23: about even. Paris FC scored 2 from 0.91 xG: more than they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.

How it fits the season

Paris FC: +0.2 for the season (3 in the table). Strasbourg: −0.3 (13). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Toulouse — Le Havre 3:2Angers — Troyes 2:0Le Mans — Lorient 2:1Lyon — Rennes 4:0

All Ligue 1 matches with xG →