Lorient

Next match

Rennes · at home, 22 Nov 2026
Win 48% · draw 24% · defeat 28%

Fixture difficulty

The next three opponents by the club's own chances. A mixed run.

What the numbers say

Points. 15 points from 15.4 xPTS (−0.4). By quality of play (xPTS) it ranks 7th in the league, but 10th in the table. Points match the quality of play. Inside that balance finishing falls short (−3.4 vs xG), but fewer goals conceded than expected (−2.1 vs xGA) — one cancels the other.

Attack. 1.24 xG per match — 15th of 18 (league average 1.59): the attack creates less than most rivals. Scored 9 goals from 12.4 xG — 27% fewer than expected. Finishing is clearly below par — the chances are the same, so the goals will probably follow.

Defence. 1.01 xGA per match — 2nd of 18 for solidity (league average 1.59): allows few chances near its own goal. Conceded 8 goals from 10.1 xGA — 20% fewer than expected. Part of these clean sheets rests on luck rather than defending.

Playing to its level. Points (15) are close to the quality of play (15.4 xPTS).

Round by round

The solid line is points won, the dashed line is expected points (xPTS). The gap shows how far results run ahead of performance, or behind it.

Fixtures and forecast

Current pace is 1.50 points per match, the pace expected from the next opponents is 1.58. Over the next 5 rounds the model gives 7.9 points. Outcome chances and expected points come from the opponent's attack and defence with a home advantage adjustment: a fixture is worth 3 points for a win and 1 for a draw.

Follow this club: send the bot the command /follow Lorient and it will write when results and performance diverge.

The season so far

Every match: played with the score, ahead with the date. Click for the breakdown.

Club players

Around them in the table

Full Ligue 1 xPTS table →

Other clubs of the league