The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.
Paris Saint-Germain are favourites: 66% to win against 16%. Attack against defence: Paris Saint-Germain should create more, 2.12 expected goals a match against 1.25.
| Club | Place | P | Points | xPTS | Δ | xG/match | xGA/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nice | 9 | 6 | 8 | 6.5 | +1.5 | 1.17 | 1.71 |
| Paris Saint-Germain | 6 | 6 | 11 | 12.2 | −1.2 | 2.53 | 1.33 |
Probabilities come from a Poisson model over both sides' xG with a home advantage applied. We know nothing about injuries, suspensions or rotation, and we do not give betting tips.