Akron Tolyatti
Krylia SovetovThe score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
The score matched the game: Krylia Sovetov was the better side by chances too.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.72 | −0.7 | 0.64 | |
| 3 | 1.84 | +1.2 | 2.14 |
| Minute | Goal | Team | Shot xG | Assist |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18' | Nikita Chernov | 0.41 | Yuri Gorshkov | |
| 74' | Dominik Oroz | 0.61 | ||
| 91' | Vladislav Shitov | 0.10 | Yuri Gorshkov |
| Minute | Player | Team | xG | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 74' | Dominik Oroz | 0.61 | goal, header, from a set piece | |
| 18' | Nikita Chernov | 0.41 | goal, from a set piece | |
| 2' | Ivan Oleynikov | 0.14 | off target |
Shots: Akron Tolyatti 15, Krylia Sovetov 12; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 0 and 3.
In the first half xG was Akron Tolyatti 0.43, Krylia Sovetov 0.78: a small edge for Krylia Sovetov. In the second half xG was Akron Tolyatti 0.30, Krylia Sovetov 1.38: a clear edge for Krylia Sovetov. The edge in chances lasted the whole match. Krylia Sovetov scored 3 from 1.84 xG: more than they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.
Akron Tolyatti: −2.6 for the season (14 in the table). Krylia Sovetov: −4.0 (7). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.