The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
The score matched the game: Spartak Moscow was the better side by chances too.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spartak Moscow | 2 | 0.81 | +1.2 | 1.53 |
| Zenit | 0 | 0.56 | −0.6 | 1.08 |
Spartak Moscow: +0.7 for the season (2 in the table). Zenit: +2.9 (5). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.