Spartak Moscow — Zenit 2:0

Spartak Moscow

2:0

Zenit

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

The score matched the game: Spartak Moscow was the better side by chances too.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Spartak Moscow	2	0.81	+1.2	1.53
Zenit	0	0.56	−0.6	1.08

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
11'	Wilmar Barrios (own goal)	Spartak Moscow	—
37'	Roman Zobnin	Spartak Moscow	0.04	Marquinhos

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
19'	Pablo Solari	Spartak Moscow	0.21	off target
74'	Felipe Augusto	Zenit	0.10	saved, header, from a corner
93'	Danil Prutsev	Spartak Moscow	0.10	saved

Shots: Spartak Moscow 15, Zenit 13; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 0 and 0.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Spartak Moscow 0.50, Zenit 0.05: a small edge for Spartak Moscow. In the second half xG was Spartak Moscow 0.30, Zenit 0.49: about even. Spartak Moscow scored 2 from 0.81 xG: more than they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.

How it fits the season

Spartak Moscow: +1.5 for the season (3 in the table). Zenit: +5.4 (1). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Akron Tolyatti — Krylia Sovetov 0:3Dynamo Moscow — Rodina Moscow 3:1Dynamo Makhachkala — Krasnodar 0:1

All RPL matches with xG →