The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
The score matched the game: Dynamo Moscow was the better side by chances too.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dynamo Moscow | 3 | 2.61 | +0.4 | 2.42 |
| Rodina Moscow | 1 | 0.81 | +0.2 | 0.43 |
Dynamo Moscow: +3.5 for the season (3 in the table). Rodina Moscow: −0.1 (15). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.