The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
The score matched the game: Rubin Kazan was the better side by chances too.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akron Tolyatti | 1 | 0.77 | +0.2 | 0.83 |
| Rubin Kazan | 2 | 1.51 | +0.5 | 1.91 |
Akron Tolyatti: −1.7 for the season (13 in the table). Rubin Kazan: +1.7 (6). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.