The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
A draw, but CSKA Moscow created more (1.13 xG against 0.47) — points dropped.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CSKA Moscow | 1 | 1.13 | −0.1 | 1.89 |
| Krylia Sovetov | 1 | 0.47 | +0.5 | 0.79 |
CSKA Moscow: +3.1 for the season (4 in the table). Krylia Sovetov: −1.6 (9). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.