The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
The score matched the game: Dynamo Makhachkala was the better side by chances too.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dynamo Makhachkala | 2 | 1.56 | +0.4 | 1.42 |
| Lokomotiv Moscow | 1 | 1.49 | −0.5 | 1.34 |
Dynamo Makhachkala: −2.0 for the season (7 in the table). Lokomotiv Moscow: −0.9 (14). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.