Dynamo Makhachkala — Lokomotiv Moscow 2:1

Dynamo Makhachkala

2:1

Lokomotiv Moscow

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

The score matched the game: Dynamo Makhachkala was the better side by chances too.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Dynamo Makhachkala	2	1.56	+0.4	1.43
Lokomotiv Moscow	1	1.49	−0.5	1.33

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
30'	Vadim Rakov	Lokomotiv Moscow	0.64	Alexey Batrakov
56'	Miro	Dynamo Makhachkala	0.66	Nikita Glushkov
72'	Nikita Glushkov	Dynamo Makhachkala	0.29	Houssem Eddine Mrezigue

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
56'	Miro	Dynamo Makhachkala	0.66	goal
30'	Vadim Rakov	Lokomotiv Moscow	0.64	goal
8'	Lucas Fasson	Lokomotiv Moscow	0.33	off target, header

Shots: Dynamo Makhachkala 12, Lokomotiv Moscow 13; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 1 and 2.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Dynamo Makhachkala 0.36, Lokomotiv Moscow 1.19: a clear edge for Lokomotiv Moscow. In the second half xG was Dynamo Makhachkala 1.21, Lokomotiv Moscow 0.30: a clear edge for Dynamo Makhachkala. The edge in chances passed from Lokomotiv Moscow to Dynamo Makhachkala.

How it fits the season

Dynamo Makhachkala: −2.6 for the season (11 in the table). Lokomotiv Moscow: −2.6 (15). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Akron Tolyatti — Rubin Kazan 1:2CSKA Moscow — Krylia Sovetov 1:1Baltika Kaliningrad — Dynamo Moscow 2:1

All RPL matches with xG →