Pitch Radar

Akron Tolyatti — Zenit 0:5

Akron Tolyatti
0:5
Zenit
RPL · 25 Jul 2026 · season 2026/27

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Score0:5
Home xG0.78Akron Tolyatti
Away xG2.57Zenit
Expected points0.42 : 2.43

Who deserved it

The score matched the game: Zenit was the better side by chances too.

The numbers

TeamGoalsxGGoals − xGExpected points
Akron Tolyatti00.78−0.80.42
Zenit52.57+2.42.43

Goals

MinuteGoalTeamShot xGAssist
6'Alexander SobolevZenit0.67Pedro Henrique
17'Alexander SobolevZenit0.06Maksim Glushenkov
33'Gustavo MantuanZenit0.02Wendel
77'Jhon JhonZenit0.12Alexander Sobolev
83'Felipe AugustoZenit0.04

Key chances

MinutePlayerTeamxGOutcome
6'Alexander SobolevZenit0.67goal
0'Maksim GlushenkovZenit0.41saved
88'Slobodan TedicAkron Tolyatti0.36blocked

Shots: Akron Tolyatti 10, Zenit 20; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 1 and 3.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Akron Tolyatti 0.34, Zenit 1.86: a big edge for Zenit. In the second half xG was Akron Tolyatti 0.46, Zenit 0.80: a small edge for Zenit. The edge in chances lasted the whole match. Zenit scored 5 from 2.57 xG: well above what they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.

Shot data: Understat. xG rates the quality of a chance; it is not a forecast of the result.

How it fits the season

Akron Tolyatti: −2.6 for the season (14 in the table). Zenit: +5.4 (1). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

All RPL matches with xG →