Akron Tolyatti
ZenitThe score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
The score matched the game: Zenit was the better side by chances too.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.78 | −0.8 | 0.42 | |
| 5 | 2.57 | +2.4 | 2.43 |
| Minute | Goal | Team | Shot xG | Assist |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6' | Alexander Sobolev | 0.67 | Pedro Henrique | |
| 17' | Alexander Sobolev | 0.06 | Maksim Glushenkov | |
| 33' | Gustavo Mantuan | 0.02 | Wendel | |
| 77' | Jhon Jhon | 0.12 | Alexander Sobolev | |
| 83' | Felipe Augusto | 0.04 |
| Minute | Player | Team | xG | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6' | Alexander Sobolev | 0.67 | goal | |
| 0' | Maksim Glushenkov | 0.41 | saved | |
| 88' | Slobodan Tedic | 0.36 | blocked |
Shots: Akron Tolyatti 10, Zenit 20; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 1 and 3.
In the first half xG was Akron Tolyatti 0.34, Zenit 1.86: a big edge for Zenit. In the second half xG was Akron Tolyatti 0.46, Zenit 0.80: a small edge for Zenit. The edge in chances lasted the whole match. Zenit scored 5 from 2.57 xG: well above what they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.
Akron Tolyatti: −2.6 for the season (14 in the table). Zenit: +5.4 (1). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.