The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
The score matched the game: Zenit was the better side by chances too.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akron Tolyatti | 0 | 0.78 | −0.8 | 0.42 |
| Zenit | 5 | 2.57 | +2.4 | 2.43 |
Akron Tolyatti: −1.7 for the season (13 in the table). Zenit: +2.9 (5). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.