The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
The score matched the game: Spartak Moscow was the better side by chances too.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spartak Moscow | 3 | 3.12 | −0.1 | 2.76 |
| Rodina Moscow | 0 | 0.41 | −0.4 | 0.16 |
Spartak Moscow: +0.7 for the season (2 in the table). Rodina Moscow: −0.1 (15). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.