The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
Fakel Voronezh created more (1.25 xG against 1.14) and left with nothing.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fakel Voronezh | 1 | 1.25 | −0.2 | 1.44 |
| Dynamo Makhachkala | 2 | 1.14 | +0.9 | 1.28 |
Fakel Voronezh: −5.6 for the season (16 in the table). Dynamo Makhachkala: −2.0 (7). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.