Fakel Voronezh — Dynamo Makhachkala 1:2

Fakel Voronezh

1:2

Dynamo Makhachkala

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

Fakel Voronezh created more (1.25 xG against 1.14) and left with nothing.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Fakel Voronezh	1	1.25	−0.2	1.44
Dynamo Makhachkala	2	1.14	+0.9	1.28

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
20'	Vyacheslav Yakimov	Fakel Voronezh	0.77
29'	Yury Zhuravlev (own goal)	Dynamo Makhachkala	—
78'	Aleksandr Sandrachuk	Dynamo Makhachkala	0.38	Daniil Lesovoy

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
20'	Vyacheslav Yakimov	Fakel Voronezh	0.77	goal
78'	Aleksandr Sandrachuk	Dynamo Makhachkala	0.38	goal
35'	Gamid Agalarov	Dynamo Makhachkala	0.32	off target

Shots: Fakel Voronezh 12, Dynamo Makhachkala 11; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 1 and 2.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Fakel Voronezh 0.96, Dynamo Makhachkala 0.61: a small edge for Fakel Voronezh. In the second half xG was Fakel Voronezh 0.34, Dynamo Makhachkala 0.54: about even.

How it fits the season

Fakel Voronezh: −6.5 for the season (16 in the table). Dynamo Makhachkala: −2.6 (11). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Dynamo Moscow — Krylia Sovetov 0:0Akron Tolyatti — Zenit 0:5Spartak Moscow — Rodina Moscow 3:0

All RPL matches with xG →