Baltika Kaliningrad — Lokomotiv Moscow 0:1
Baltika Kaliningrad0:1
Lokomotiv MoscowThe score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
Score0:1
Home xG0.48Baltika Kaliningrad
Away xG0.32Lokomotiv Moscow
Expected points1.41 : 1.07
Who deserved it
Baltika Kaliningrad created more (0.48 xG against 0.32) and left with nothing.
The numbers
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baltika Kaliningrad | 0 | 0.48 | −0.5 | 1.41 |
| Lokomotiv Moscow | 1 | 0.32 | +0.7 | 1.07 |
Goals
| Minute | Goal | Team | Shot xG | Assist |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 84' | Andrey Mostovoy | Lokomotiv Moscow | 0.08 | Nikolay Komlichenko |
Key chances
| Minute | Player | Team | xG | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 82' | Fahd Moufi | Baltika Kaliningrad | 0.11 | saved |
| 18' | Andrey Mostovoy | Lokomotiv Moscow | 0.09 | blocked |
| 41' | Mingiyan Beveev | Baltika Kaliningrad | 0.08 | saved |
Shots: Baltika Kaliningrad 10, Lokomotiv Moscow 8; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 0 and 0.
How the game went
In the first half xG was Baltika Kaliningrad 0.22, Lokomotiv Moscow 0.25: about even. In the second half xG was Baltika Kaliningrad 0.26, Lokomotiv Moscow 0.09: about even.
How it fits the season
Baltika Kaliningrad: −6.1 for the season (9 in the table). Lokomotiv Moscow: −2.6 (15). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.
Orenburg — 
Akron Tolyatti 2:2
Dynamo Makhachkala — 
Rodina Moscow 2:0
Dynamo Moscow — 
Spartak Moscow 2:1