Dynamo Moscow — Spartak Moscow 2:1

Dynamo Moscow

2:1

Spartak Moscow

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

The score matched the game: Dynamo Moscow was the better side by chances too.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Dynamo Moscow	2	1.77	+0.2	1.84
Spartak Moscow	1	1.08	−0.1	0.93

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
20'	Danil Prutsev	Spartak Moscow	0.41	Marquinhos
24'	Iaroslav Gladyshev	Dynamo Moscow	0.04
33'	Arthur Gomes	Dynamo Moscow	0.93	Juan José Cáceres

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
33'	Arthur Gomes	Dynamo Moscow	0.93	goal
37'	Manfred Ugalde	Spartak Moscow	0.49	off target, from a set piece
20'	Danil Prutsev	Spartak Moscow	0.41	goal

Shots: Dynamo Moscow 16, Spartak Moscow 6; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 1 and 2.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Dynamo Moscow 1.28, Spartak Moscow 0.97: a small edge for Dynamo Moscow. In the second half xG was Dynamo Moscow 0.49, Spartak Moscow 0.11: a small edge for Dynamo Moscow. The edge in chances lasted the whole match.

How it fits the season

Dynamo Moscow: +7.3 for the season (2 in the table). Spartak Moscow: +1.5 (3). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Orenburg — Akron Tolyatti 2:2Dynamo Makhachkala — Rodina Moscow 2:0Baltika Kaliningrad — Lokomotiv Moscow 0:1

All RPL matches with xG →