The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
The score matched the game: Dynamo Makhachkala was the better side by chances too.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dynamo Makhachkala | 2 | 2.22 | −0.2 | 2.61 |
| Rodina Moscow | 0 | 0.28 | −0.3 | 0.25 |
Dynamo Makhachkala: −2.0 for the season (7 in the table). Rodina Moscow: −0.1 (15). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.