The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
The score matched the game: CSKA Moscow was the better side by chances too.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CSKA Moscow | 1 | 0.98 | +0.0 | 1.76 |
| Fakel Voronezh | 0 | 0.49 | −0.5 | 0.89 |
CSKA Moscow: +3.1 for the season (4 in the table). Fakel Voronezh: −5.6 (16). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.