CSKA Moscow — Fakel Voronezh 1:0

CSKA Moscow

1:0

Fakel Voronezh

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

The score matched the game: CSKA Moscow was the better side by chances too.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
CSKA Moscow	1	0.98	+0.0	1.75
Fakel Voronezh	0	0.49	−0.5	0.89

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
70'	Ivan Oblyakov (penalty)	CSKA Moscow	0.75

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
1'	Axel Gnapi	Fakel Voronezh	0.11	blocked
76'	Vyacheslav Yakimov	Fakel Voronezh	0.10	off target, from a set piece
64'	Axel Gnapi	Fakel Voronezh	0.07	off target

Shots: CSKA Moscow 9, Fakel Voronezh 10; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 1 and 0.

How the game went

In the first half xG was CSKA Moscow 0.09, Fakel Voronezh 0.18: about even. In the second half xG was CSKA Moscow 0.89, Fakel Voronezh 0.29: a small edge for CSKA Moscow.

How it fits the season

CSKA Moscow: +2.7 for the season (5 in the table). Fakel Voronezh: −6.5 (16). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Rodina Moscow — Akron Tolyatti 3:3Rostov — Rubin Kazan 1:1Krasnodar — Akhmat Grozny 1:0

All RPL matches with xG →