Rostov — Rubin Kazan 1:1

Rostov

1:1

Rubin Kazan

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

A draw, but Rubin Kazan created more (1.19 xG against 0.62) — points dropped.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Rostov	1	0.62	+0.4	0.89
Rubin Kazan	1	1.19	−0.2	1.80

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
30'	Timur Suleymanov	Rostov	0.08	Olakunle Olusegun
50'	Jacques Siwe (penalty)	Rubin Kazan	0.75

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
62'	Timur Suleymanov	Rostov	0.10	off target, header
22'	Olakunle Olusegun	Rostov	0.09	saved, header, from a set piece
31'	Ivan Komarov	Rostov	0.09	off target

Shots: Rostov 13, Rubin Kazan 9; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 0 and 1.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Rostov 0.47, Rubin Kazan 0.12: a small edge for Rostov. In the second half xG was Rostov 0.16, Rubin Kazan 1.07: a clear edge for Rubin Kazan. The edge in chances passed from Rostov to Rubin Kazan.

How it fits the season

Rostov: +2.2 for the season (6 in the table). Rubin Kazan: +2.1 (8). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Rodina Moscow — Akron Tolyatti 3:3CSKA Moscow — Fakel Voronezh 1:0Krasnodar — Akhmat Grozny 1:0

All RPL matches with xG →