The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
A draw, but Rubin Kazan created more (1.19 xG against 0.62) — points dropped.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rostov | 1 | 0.62 | +0.4 | 0.89 |
| Rubin Kazan | 1 | 1.19 | −0.2 | 1.80 |
Rostov: −1.6 for the season (12 in the table). Rubin Kazan: +1.7 (6). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.