The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
The score matched the game: Krasnodar was the better side by chances too.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Krasnodar | 1 | 1.07 | −0.1 | 1.47 |
| Akhmat Grozny | 0 | 0.91 | −0.9 | 1.22 |
Krasnodar: +7.4 for the season (1 in the table). Akhmat Grozny: −1.5 (10). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.