The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
A draw, but Akron Tolyatti created more (2.28 xG against 0.85) — points dropped.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rodina Moscow | 3 | 0.85 | +2.1 | 0.55 |
| Akron Tolyatti | 3 | 2.28 | +0.7 | 2.27 |
Rodina Moscow: −0.1 for the season (15 in the table). Akron Tolyatti: −1.7 (13). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.