Rodina Moscow — Akron Tolyatti 3:3

Rodina Moscow

3:3

Akron Tolyatti

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

A draw, but Akron Tolyatti created more (2.28 xG against 0.85) — points dropped.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Rodina Moscow	3	0.85	+2.1	0.55
Akron Tolyatti	3	2.28	+0.7	2.27

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
12'	Artem Maksimenko	Rodina Moscow	0.02	Iker Pozo
45'	Artem Maksimenko	Rodina Moscow	0.51
50'	Stefan Loncar	Akron Tolyatti	0.63	Roberto Fernández
70'	Gilson Benchimol	Akron Tolyatti	0.08	Dudu Rodrigues
75'	Artem Maksimenko	Rodina Moscow	0.04	Artur Gharibyan
85'	Kevin Arévalo	Akron Tolyatti	0.78

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
85'	Kevin Arévalo	Akron Tolyatti	0.78	goal
50'	Stefan Loncar	Akron Tolyatti	0.63	goal
45'	Artem Maksimenko	Rodina Moscow	0.51	goal

Shots: Rodina Moscow 7, Akron Tolyatti 18; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 1 and 2.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Rodina Moscow 0.67, Akron Tolyatti 0.28: a small edge for Rodina Moscow. In the second half xG was Rodina Moscow 0.22, Akron Tolyatti 2.00: a big edge for Akron Tolyatti. The edge in chances passed from Rodina Moscow to Akron Tolyatti. Rodina Moscow scored 3 from 0.85 xG: well above what they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.

How it fits the season

Rodina Moscow: −0.3 for the season (13 in the table). Akron Tolyatti: −2.6 (14). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

CSKA Moscow — Fakel Voronezh 1:0Rostov — Rubin Kazan 1:1Krasnodar — Akhmat Grozny 1:0

All RPL matches with xG →