The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.
CSKA Moscow are favourites: 58% to win against 18%. Attack against defence: CSKA Moscow should create more, 1.41 expected goals a match against 1.08. Read the table with care: CSKA Moscow have taken 3.6 points more than their play deserved, so their position flatters them.
| Club | Place | P | Points | xPTS | Δ | xG/match | xGA/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CSKA Moscow | 2 | 10 | 22 | 18.4 | +3.6 | 1.72 | 1.14 |
| Akhmat Grozny | 11 | 10 | 11 | 13.0 | −2.0 | 1.02 | 1.10 |
Probabilities come from a Poisson model over both sides' xG with a home advantage applied. We know nothing about injuries, suspensions or rotation, and we do not give betting tips.