The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
A draw, but CSKA Moscow created more (1.96 xG against 1.11) — points dropped.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CSKA Moscow | 1 | 1.96 | −1.0 | 1.93 |
| Rubin Kazan | 1 | 1.11 | −0.1 | 0.85 |
CSKA Moscow: +3.1 for the season (4 in the table). Rubin Kazan: +1.7 (6). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.