Dynamo Moscow — Orenburg 1:0

Dynamo Moscow

1:0

Orenburg

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

The score matched the game: Dynamo Moscow was the better side by chances too.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Dynamo Moscow	1	0.93	+0.1	1.88
Orenburg	0	0.31	−0.3	0.74

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
89'	Viktor Okishor	Dynamo Moscow	0.02	Bitelo

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
41'	Ivan Sergeev	Dynamo Moscow	0.14	off target
45'	Iaroslav Gladyshev	Dynamo Moscow	0.14	blocked
8'	Bitelo	Dynamo Moscow	0.13	saved

Shots: Dynamo Moscow 16, Orenburg 6; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 0 and 0.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Dynamo Moscow 0.71, Orenburg 0.11: a small edge for Dynamo Moscow. In the second half xG was Dynamo Moscow 0.22, Orenburg 0.20: about even.

How it fits the season

Dynamo Moscow: +7.3 for the season (2 in the table). Orenburg: −3.3 (10). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Fakel Voronezh — Baltika Kaliningrad 2:2Zenit — Lokomotiv Moscow 2:1CSKA Moscow — Rubin Kazan 1:1

All RPL matches with xG →