The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
The score matched the game: Dynamo Moscow was the better side by chances too.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dynamo Moscow | 1 | 0.93 | +0.1 | 1.88 |
| Orenburg | 0 | 0.31 | −0.3 | 0.74 |
Dynamo Moscow: +3.5 for the season (3 in the table). Orenburg: −4.3 (11). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.