The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
The score matched the game: Zenit was the better side by chances too.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zenit | 2 | 1.62 | +0.4 | 1.69 |
| Lokomotiv Moscow | 1 | 1.15 | −0.1 | 1.06 |
Zenit: +2.9 for the season (5 in the table). Lokomotiv Moscow: −0.9 (14). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.