Zenit — Lokomotiv Moscow 2:1

Zenit

2:1

Lokomotiv Moscow

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

The score matched the game: Zenit was the better side by chances too.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Zenit	2	1.62	+0.4	1.70
Lokomotiv Moscow	1	1.15	−0.1	1.06

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
17'	Aleksandr Rudenko	Lokomotiv Moscow	0.30	Sergey Babkin
46'	Kevin Andrade	Zenit	0.14
69'	Luiz Henrique	Zenit	0.28	Pedro Henrique

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
20'	Nikolay Komlichenko	Lokomotiv Moscow	0.32	off target
17'	Aleksandr Rudenko	Lokomotiv Moscow	0.30	goal
69'	Luiz Henrique	Zenit	0.28	goal

Shots: Zenit 18, Lokomotiv Moscow 14; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 0 and 2.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Zenit 0.66, Lokomotiv Moscow 0.64: about even. In the second half xG was Zenit 0.96, Lokomotiv Moscow 0.51: a small edge for Zenit.

How it fits the season

Zenit: +5.4 for the season (1 in the table). Lokomotiv Moscow: −2.6 (15). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Fakel Voronezh — Baltika Kaliningrad 2:2Dynamo Moscow — Orenburg 1:0CSKA Moscow — Rubin Kazan 1:1

All RPL matches with xG →