Dynamo Moscow — Dynamo Makhachkala 3:1

Dynamo Moscow

3:1

Dynamo Makhachkala

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

The score matched the game: Dynamo Moscow was the better side by chances too.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Dynamo Moscow	3	1.14	+1.9	1.36
Dynamo Makhachkala	1	1.13	−0.1	1.35

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
76'	Timofey Marinkin	Dynamo Moscow	0.03	Viktor Okishor
78'	Dmitrii Skopintcev	Dynamo Moscow	0.08	Konstantin Tyukavin
80'	Gamid Agalarov	Dynamo Makhachkala	0.54
92'	Anton Miranchuk	Dynamo Moscow	0.63	Viktor Okishor

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
92'	Anton Miranchuk	Dynamo Moscow	0.63	goal
80'	Gamid Agalarov	Dynamo Makhachkala	0.54	goal
12'	Miro	Dynamo Makhachkala	0.33	off target

Shots: Dynamo Moscow 11, Dynamo Makhachkala 8; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 1 and 2.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Dynamo Moscow 0.29, Dynamo Makhachkala 0.49: about even. In the second half xG was Dynamo Moscow 0.85, Dynamo Makhachkala 0.63: about even. Dynamo Moscow scored 3 from 1.14 xG: well above what they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.

How it fits the season

Dynamo Moscow: +7.3 for the season (2 in the table). Dynamo Makhachkala: −2.6 (11). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Zenit — Rodina Moscow 1:2Spartak Moscow — Krasnodar 1:2Rubin Kazan — Orenburg 1:1

All RPL matches with xG →