The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
The score matched the game: Dynamo Moscow was the better side by chances too.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dynamo Moscow | 3 | 1.14 | +1.9 | 1.36 |
| Dynamo Makhachkala | 1 | 1.13 | −0.1 | 1.35 |
Dynamo Moscow: +3.5 for the season (3 in the table). Dynamo Makhachkala: −2.0 (7). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.