Rubin Kazan — Orenburg 1:1

Rubin Kazan

1:1

Orenburg

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

A draw, but Orenburg created more (1.07 xG against 0.35) — points dropped.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Rubin Kazan	1	0.35	+0.7	0.70
Orenburg	1	1.07	−0.1	1.96

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
47'	Emil Tsenov	Orenburg	0.31	Maxime Sivis
59'	Alexey Tataev (own goal)	Rubin Kazan	—

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
42'	Renat Golybin	Orenburg	0.36	off target, header
47'	Emil Tsenov	Orenburg	0.31	goal
20'	Dmitri Rybchinsky	Orenburg	0.09	off target

Shots: Rubin Kazan 10, Orenburg 13; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 0 and 2.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Rubin Kazan 0.15, Orenburg 0.66: a small edge for Orenburg. In the second half xG was Rubin Kazan 0.20, Orenburg 0.41: about even.

How it fits the season

Rubin Kazan: +2.1 for the season (8 in the table). Orenburg: −3.3 (10). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Dynamo Moscow — Dynamo Makhachkala 3:1Zenit — Rodina Moscow 1:2Spartak Moscow — Krasnodar 1:2

All RPL matches with xG →