The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
A draw, but Orenburg created more (1.07 xG against 0.35) — points dropped.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rubin Kazan | 1 | 0.35 | +0.7 | 0.70 |
| Orenburg | 1 | 1.07 | −0.1 | 1.96 |
Rubin Kazan: +1.7 for the season (6 in the table). Orenburg: −4.3 (11). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.