Zenit — Rodina Moscow 1:2

Zenit

1:2

Rodina Moscow

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

Zenit created more (1.21 xG against 1.05) and left with nothing.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Zenit	1	1.21	−0.2	1.48
Rodina Moscow	2	1.05	+0.9	1.24

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
22'	Maksim Glushenkov	Zenit	0.35
58'	Artur Gharibyan	Rodina Moscow	0.52	Stanislav Bessmertny
64'	Artur Gharibyan	Rodina Moscow	0.33	Soltmurad Bakaev

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
58'	Artur Gharibyan	Rodina Moscow	0.52	goal, header
22'	Maksim Glushenkov	Zenit	0.35	goal
64'	Artur Gharibyan	Rodina Moscow	0.33	goal

Shots: Zenit 22, Rodina Moscow 7; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 1 and 2.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Zenit 0.73, Rodina Moscow 0.02: a small edge for Zenit. In the second half xG was Zenit 0.49, Rodina Moscow 1.03: a small edge for Rodina Moscow. The edge in chances passed from Zenit to Rodina Moscow.

How it fits the season

Zenit: +5.4 for the season (1 in the table). Rodina Moscow: −0.3 (13). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Dynamo Moscow — Dynamo Makhachkala 3:1Spartak Moscow — Krasnodar 1:2Rubin Kazan — Orenburg 1:1

All RPL matches with xG →