The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
Spartak Moscow created more (1.79 xG against 1.24) and left with nothing.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spartak Moscow | 1 | 1.79 | −0.8 | 1.74 |
| Krasnodar | 2 | 1.24 | +0.8 | 1.02 |
Spartak Moscow: +0.7 for the season (2 in the table). Krasnodar: +7.4 (1). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.