Fakel Voronezh — Lokomotiv Moscow 0:5

Fakel Voronezh

0:5

Lokomotiv Moscow

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

The score matched the game: Lokomotiv Moscow was the better side by chances too.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Fakel Voronezh	0	1.26	−1.3	0.45
Lokomotiv Moscow	5	3.31	+1.7	2.42

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
24'	Nikolay Titkov	Lokomotiv Moscow	0.50	Sergei Pinyaev
31'	Nikolay Komlichenko	Lokomotiv Moscow	0.37	Zelimkhan Bakaev
48'	César Montes	Lokomotiv Moscow	0.40	Aleksandr Rudenko
63'	Egor Pogostnov	Lokomotiv Moscow	0.55	Sergei Pinyaev
73'	Nikolay Komlichenko	Lokomotiv Moscow	0.62	Zelimkhan Bakaev

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
73'	Nikolay Komlichenko	Lokomotiv Moscow	0.62	goal
63'	Egor Pogostnov	Lokomotiv Moscow	0.55	goal, header, from a set piece
24'	Nikolay Titkov	Lokomotiv Moscow	0.50	goal, header

Shots: Fakel Voronezh 24, Lokomotiv Moscow 13; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 0 and 5.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Fakel Voronezh 0.50, Lokomotiv Moscow 1.43: a clear edge for Lokomotiv Moscow. In the second half xG was Fakel Voronezh 0.76, Lokomotiv Moscow 1.88: a clear edge for Lokomotiv Moscow. The edge in chances lasted the whole match. Fakel Voronezh scored 0 from 1.26 xG: fewer than they created. Lokomotiv Moscow scored 5 from 3.31 xG: well above what they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.

How it fits the season

Fakel Voronezh: −6.5 for the season (16 in the table). Lokomotiv Moscow: −2.6 (15). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Orenburg — Dynamo Makhachkala 4:0Krylia Sovetov — Spartak Moscow 1:1Krasnodar — Zenit 2:3

All RPL matches with xG →