Krylia Sovetov — Spartak Moscow 1:1

Krylia Sovetov

1:1

Spartak Moscow

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

A draw, but Krylia Sovetov created more (2.37 xG against 0.46) — points dropped.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Krylia Sovetov	1	2.37	−1.4	2.55
Spartak Moscow	1	0.46	+0.5	0.31

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
78'	Manfred Ugalde	Spartak Moscow	0.08	Igor Dmitriev
85'	Martin Kramaric	Krylia Sovetov	0.55	Kazbek Mukailov

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
69'	Yuri Gorshkov	Krylia Sovetov	0.63	saved
85'	Martin Kramaric	Krylia Sovetov	0.55	goal, from a corner
65'	Nikita Chernov	Krylia Sovetov	0.13	off target, from a corner

Shots: Krylia Sovetov 24, Spartak Moscow 9; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 2 and 0.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Krylia Sovetov 0.17, Spartak Moscow 0.17: about even. In the second half xG was Krylia Sovetov 2.19, Spartak Moscow 0.29: a big edge for Krylia Sovetov. Krylia Sovetov scored 1 from 2.37 xG: fewer than they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.

How it fits the season

Krylia Sovetov: −4.0 for the season (7 in the table). Spartak Moscow: +1.5 (3). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Orenburg — Dynamo Makhachkala 4:0Fakel Voronezh — Lokomotiv Moscow 0:5Krasnodar — Zenit 2:3

All RPL matches with xG →