Orenburg — Dynamo Makhachkala 4:0

Orenburg

4:0

Dynamo Makhachkala

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

The score matched the game: Orenburg was the better side by chances too.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Orenburg	4	4.03	−0.0	2.55
Dynamo Makhachkala	0	1.41	−1.4	0.35

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
16'	Gedeon Guzina	Orenburg	0.61	Jordhy Thompson
38'	Jhon Palacios	Orenburg	0.53	Ruslan Kul
52'	Gedeon Guzina	Orenburg	0.40	Damián Puebla
68'	Jordhy Thompson (penalty)	Orenburg	0.75

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
80'	Nikita Glushkov	Dynamo Makhachkala	0.68	off target, from a corner
16'	Gedeon Guzina	Orenburg	0.61	goal
48'	Damián Puebla	Orenburg	0.56	hit the woodwork

Shots: Orenburg 17, Dynamo Makhachkala 13; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 6 and 1.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Orenburg 1.96, Dynamo Makhachkala 0.17: a big edge for Orenburg. In the second half xG was Orenburg 2.08, Dynamo Makhachkala 1.31: a small edge for Orenburg. The edge in chances lasted the whole match. Dynamo Makhachkala scored 0 from 1.41 xG: fewer than they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.

How it fits the season

Orenburg: −3.3 for the season (10 in the table). Dynamo Makhachkala: −2.6 (11). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Fakel Voronezh — Lokomotiv Moscow 0:5Krylia Sovetov — Spartak Moscow 1:1Krasnodar — Zenit 2:3

All RPL matches with xG →