Krasnodar — Zenit 2:3

Krasnodar

2:3

Zenit

RPL · 10 Oct 2026 · season 2026/27

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Score2:3

Home xG1.03Krasnodar

Away xG1.54Zenit

Expected points1.02 : 1.73

Who deserved it

The score matched the game: Zenit was the better side by chances too.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Krasnodar	2	1.03	+1.0	1.02
Zenit	3	1.54	+1.5	1.73

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
39'	Maksim Glushenkov	Zenit	0.29	Douglas Santos
48'	Maksim Glushenkov	Zenit	0.04	Pedro Henrique
52'	Alexander Sobolev	Zenit	0.62	Pedro Henrique
54'	Batxi	Krasnodar	0.36
70'	Jhon Córdoba	Krasnodar	0.11	Ilya Vakhanla

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
52'	Alexander Sobolev	Zenit	0.62	goal, header
54'	Batxi	Krasnodar	0.36	goal
39'	Maksim Glushenkov	Zenit	0.29	goal

Shots: Krasnodar 14, Zenit 15; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 1 and 1.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Krasnodar 0.20, Zenit 0.66: a small edge for Zenit. In the second half xG was Krasnodar 0.85, Zenit 0.88: about even. Zenit scored 3 from 1.54 xG: more than they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.

Shot data: Understat. xG rates the quality of a chance; it is not a forecast of the result.