The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
A draw, but Krylia Sovetov created more (2.06 xG against 0.53) — points dropped.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lokomotiv Moscow | 1 | 0.53 | +0.5 | 0.43 |
| Krylia Sovetov | 1 | 2.06 | −1.1 | 2.38 |
Lokomotiv Moscow: −0.9 for the season (14 in the table). Krylia Sovetov: −1.6 (9). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.