Lokomotiv Moscow — Krylia Sovetov 1:1

Lokomotiv Moscow

1:1

Krylia Sovetov

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

A draw, but Krylia Sovetov created more (2.06 xG against 0.53) — points dropped.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Lokomotiv Moscow	1	0.53	+0.5	0.43
Krylia Sovetov	1	2.06	−1.1	2.38

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
52'	Nikolay Komlichenko	Lokomotiv Moscow	0.07
66'	Amar Rahmanovic	Krylia Sovetov	0.40	Nikita Saltykov

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
2'	Vladislav Shitov	Krylia Sovetov	0.52	off target
66'	Amar Rahmanovic	Krylia Sovetov	0.40	goal
46'	Islam Chesnokov	Krylia Sovetov	0.30	off target, header

Shots: Lokomotiv Moscow 11, Krylia Sovetov 18; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 0 and 3.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Lokomotiv Moscow 0.13, Krylia Sovetov 1.07: a clear edge for Krylia Sovetov. In the second half xG was Lokomotiv Moscow 0.41, Krylia Sovetov 1.00: a small edge for Krylia Sovetov. The edge in chances lasted the whole match. Krylia Sovetov scored 1 from 2.06 xG: fewer than they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.

How it fits the season

Lokomotiv Moscow: −2.6 for the season (15 in the table). Krylia Sovetov: −4.0 (7). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Rodina Moscow — Rubin Kazan 1:1Spartak Moscow — Fakel Voronezh 1:0Baltika Kaliningrad — Zenit 2:3

All RPL matches with xG →