Spartak Moscow — Fakel Voronezh 1:0

Spartak Moscow

1:0

Fakel Voronezh

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

The score matched the game: Spartak Moscow was the better side by chances too.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Spartak Moscow	1	2.07	−1.1	2.70
Fakel Voronezh	0	0.08	−0.1	0.17

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
90'	Manfred Ugalde	Spartak Moscow	0.44

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
90'	Manfred Ugalde	Spartak Moscow	0.44	goal, header
19'	Gedson Fernandes	Spartak Moscow	0.34	off target
51'	Mirlind Daku	Spartak Moscow	0.14	blocked, from a corner

Shots: Spartak Moscow 25, Fakel Voronezh 2; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 2 and 0.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Spartak Moscow 1.15, Fakel Voronezh 0.08: a clear edge for Spartak Moscow. In the second half xG was Spartak Moscow 0.92, Fakel Voronezh 0.00: a clear edge for Spartak Moscow. The edge in chances lasted the whole match. Spartak Moscow scored 1 from 2.07 xG: fewer than they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.

How it fits the season

Spartak Moscow: +1.5 for the season (3 in the table). Fakel Voronezh: −6.5 (16). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Rodina Moscow — Rubin Kazan 1:1Baltika Kaliningrad — Zenit 2:3Lokomotiv Moscow — Krylia Sovetov 1:1

All RPL matches with xG →