The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
The score matched the game: Spartak Moscow was the better side by chances too.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spartak Moscow | 1 | 2.07 | −1.1 | 2.69 |
| Fakel Voronezh | 0 | 0.08 | −0.1 | 0.17 |
Spartak Moscow: +0.7 for the season (2 in the table). Fakel Voronezh: −5.6 (16). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.