Frosinone — Venezia 3:2

Frosinone

3:2

Venezia

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

Venezia created more (2.44 xG against 1.79) and left with nothing.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Frosinone	3	1.79	+1.2	1.04
Venezia	2	2.44	−0.4	1.76

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
20'	Antonio Raimondo	Frosinone	0.26	Anthony Oyono
38'	Antonio Raimondo	Frosinone	0.76	Patrizio Masini
65'	John Yeboah	Venezia	0.11	Gianluca Busio
73'	Richie Sagrado	Venezia	0.91	Antoine Hainaut
82'	Giorgi Kvernadze	Frosinone	0.36

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
73'	Richie Sagrado	Venezia	0.91	goal
38'	Antonio Raimondo	Frosinone	0.76	goal
82'	Giorgi Kvernadze	Frosinone	0.36	goal

Shots: Frosinone 12, Venezia 15; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 2 and 3.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Frosinone 1.15, Venezia 0.23: a clear edge for Frosinone. In the second half xG was Frosinone 0.64, Venezia 2.21: a big edge for Venezia. The edge in chances passed from Frosinone to Venezia. Frosinone scored 3 from 1.79 xG: more than they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.

How it fits the season

Frosinone: +5.2 for the season (6 in the table). Venezia: −5.9 (19). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Parma — Monza 1:1Bologna — Sassuolo 2:2Juventus — AC Milan 1:1

All Serie A matches with xG →