Parma — Monza 1:1

Parma

1:1

Monza

Serie A · 6 Sep 2026 · season 2026/27

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Score1:1

Home xG0.62Parma

Away xG2.10Monza

Expected points0.48 : 2.34

Who deserved it

A draw, but Monza created more (2.10 xG against 0.62) — points dropped.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Parma	1	0.62	+0.4	0.48
Monza	1	2.10	−1.1	2.34

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
37'	Jay Robinson	Monza	0.03	Ricardo Mangas
59'	Simone Lontani	Parma	0.06

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
10'	Dany Mota	Monza	0.47	off target, header
62'	Eddy Kouadio	Monza	0.42	saved, header, from a set piece
21'	Dany Mota	Monza	0.31	saved

Shots: Parma 7, Monza 16; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 0 and 4.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Parma 0.31, Monza 1.11: a clear edge for Monza. In the second half xG was Parma 0.31, Monza 1.00: a small edge for Monza. The edge in chances lasted the whole match. Monza scored 1 from 2.10 xG: fewer than they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.

Shot data: Understat. xG rates the quality of a chance; it is not a forecast of the result.