Juventus — AC Milan 1:1

Juventus

1:1

AC Milan

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

A draw, but Juventus created more (1.69 xG against 0.09) — points dropped.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Juventus	1	1.69	−0.7	2.56
AC Milan	1	0.09	+0.9	0.25

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
67'	Alphadjo Cissè	AC Milan	0.05	Samuel Chukwueze
91'	Federico Gatti	Juventus	0.45	Teun Koopmeiners

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
24'	Manuel Locatelli	Juventus	0.54	off target
91'	Federico Gatti	Juventus	0.45	goal, header, from a set piece
37'	Francisco Conceição	Juventus	0.29	saved

Shots: Juventus 14, AC Milan 3; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 2 and 0.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Juventus 0.96, AC Milan 0.05: a clear edge for Juventus. In the second half xG was Juventus 0.78, AC Milan 0.05: a small edge for Juventus. The edge in chances lasted the whole match.

How it fits the season

Juventus: −3.8 for the season (7 in the table). AC Milan: +5.8 (4). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Frosinone — Venezia 3:2Parma — Monza 1:1Bologna — Sassuolo 2:2

All Serie A matches with xG →