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Juventus

Serie A · Italy · season 2026/27 · 11 matches · 5W 3D 3L
Place7 of 20
Points18
xPTS21.8
Δ points − xPTS−3.8
Scored / xG15 / 17.4
Conceded / xGA12 / 8.0

Next match

Juventus
VS
Venezia

Venezia · at home, 22 Nov 2026
Win 75% · draw 17% · defeat 8%

The match in numbers →

Fixture difficulty

The next three opponents by the club's own chances. A kind run.

Venezia 75%Como 40%Udinese 82%

What the numbers say

Points. 18 points from 21.8 xPTS (−3.8). By quality of play (xPTS) it ranks 4th in the league, but 7th in the table. Source of the shortfall: missed chances (−2.4 goals vs xG) and extra goals conceded (+4.0 vs xGA).

Attack. 1.58 xG per match — 12th of 20 (league average 1.70): an average attack for this league. Scored 15 goals from 17.4 xG — 14% fewer than expected. A small finishing shortfall, still within the usual spread.

Defence. 0.73 xGA per match — 1st of 20 for solidity (league average 1.70): allows less in front of its own goal than anyone in the league. Conceded 12 goals from 8.0 xGA — 50% more than expected. Opponents are scoring nearly everything they create — luck this bad usually does not last.

Upside potential: HIGH. Performance is better than results by 0.35 points per match: expected pace 2.0 points per match vs the current 1.6.

Round by round

The solid line is points won, the dashed line is expected points (xPTS). The gap shows how far results run ahead of performance, or behind it.

01122 1 11 round 1: 1:0, Points 3, xPTS 2.8round 2: 2:0, Points 6, xPTS 5.4round 3: 1:1, Points 7, xPTS 8.1round 4: 2:3, Points 7, xPTS 9.6round 5: 2:0, Points 10, xPTS 12.1round 6: 1:1, Points 11, xPTS 14.6round 7: 0:3, Points 11, xPTS 15.7round 8: 2:0, Points 14, xPTS 17.1round 9: 0:2, Points 14, xPTS 18.8round 10: 2:0, Points 17, xPTS 20.3round 11: 2:2, Points 18, xPTS 21.8
Points 18 xPTS 21.8 performance is 3.8 ahead of points

Fixtures and forecast

Current pace is 1.64 points per match, the pace expected from the next opponents is 2.00. Over the next 5 rounds the model gives 10.0 points. Outcome chances and expected points come from the opponent's attack and defence with a home advantage adjustment: a fixture is worth 3 points for a win and 1 for a draw.

OpponentVenueDateWinDrawDefeatExpected points
Veneziahome2026-11-2275%17%8%2.41
Comoaway2026-11-2940%29%30%1.50
Udinesehome2026-12-0682%13%5%2.59
Monzahome2026-12-1369%20%11%2.27
Romaaway2026-12-2032%27%42%1.22

Follow this club: send the bot the command /follow Juventus and it will write when results and performance diverge.

The season so far

Every match: played with the score, ahead with the date. Click for the breakdown.

Frosinone 1:0 · awayParma 2:0 AC Milan 1:1 Sassuolo 2:3 · awayAtalanta 2:0 Cagliari 1:1 · awayLazio 0:3 Lecce 2:0 · awayGenoa 0:2 · awayNapoli 2:0 Fiorentina 2:2 · awayVenezia · 11.22Como · 11.29Udinese · 12.06Monza · 12.13Roma · 12.20

Club players

Edon ZhegrovaNick WoltemadeRandal Kolo Muani

Around them in the table

PlaceClubPPointsxPTSΔ
5Como112319.8+3.2
6Frosinone112014.8+5.2
7Juventus111821.8−3.8
8Bologna111719.1−2.1
9Cagliari111611.0+5.0

Full Serie A xPTS table →

Other clubs of the league

LazioInterRomaAC MilanComoFrosinoneBolognaCagliariNapoliTorinoAtalantaGenoaLecceFiorentinaParmaSassuoloMonzaVeneziaUdinese