Points. 8 points from 6.0 xPTS (+2.0). By quality of play (xPTS) it ranks 10th in the league, but 6th in the table. A small surplus, still within the margin of error. Source: conceding less than expected (−1.7 vs xGA).
Attack. 1.80 xG per match — 8th of 20 (league average 1.72): an average attack for this league. Scored 7 goals from 7.2 xG — finishing is on par.
Defence. 1.43 xGA per match — 7th of 20 for solidity (league average 1.72). Conceded 4 goals from 5.7 xGA — 1.7 fewer than expected: the goalkeeper is bailing them out or opponents are missing. The defence itself is one of the most solid in the league, so even after a correction they will concede little.
Playing to its level. Points (8) are close to the quality of play (6.0 xPTS).
The solid line is points won, the dashed line is expected points (xPTS). The gap shows how far results run ahead of performance, or behind it.
Current pace is 2.00 points per match, the pace expected from the next opponents is 2.00. Over the next 5 rounds the model gives 10.0 points. Expected points come from the opponent's attack and defence with a home advantage adjustment.
| Opponent | Venue | Date | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lecce | home | 2026-09-20 | 2.58 |
| Sassuolo | away | 2026-10-11 | 1.26 |
| Atalanta | home | 2026-10-17 | 2.52 |
| Udinese | away | 2026-10-25 | 2.05 |
| Bologna | home | 2026-10-28 | 1.57 |