The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Augsburg | Bayer Leverkusen | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 4 | 5 |
| Points | 7 | 7 |
| xPTS | 4.7 | 9.6 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +2.4 | −2.6 |
| xG per match | 2.14 | 2.61 |
| xGA per match | 2.13 | 0.85 |
| Scored | 11 | 10 |
| Conceded | 6 | 5 |
By quality of play Bayer Leverkusen is ahead: 9.6 xPTS against 4.7. In the table they are level. The gap between points and play — Augsburg: +2.4, Bayer Leverkusen: −2.6.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Augsburg — 6.1, Bayer Leverkusen — 10.9.